Qualitative Dynamic Programming for Optimal Timber Cutting and Conservation of Leadbeater’s Possum
نویسنده
چکیده
Leadbeater’s possum is an endangered species particular to mountain ash country in the Central Highlands of Victoria. The species is threatened by the outbreak of catastrophic wildfire and the loss of nesting sites resulting from logging trees younger than 150 years of age. A stochastic dynamic programming approach to determine how much logging should be foregone to enhance the probability of survival of the possum rests on estimates of the probability of wildfire and the value of preservation of the possum. Given the difficulty of obtaining precise estimates, solution methods using qualitative, fuzzy estimates are explored.
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